Methods for Minimization and Management of Variability in Long-Term Groundwater Monitoring Results

ER-201209

Objective

Variability in groundwater monitoring data complicates long-term monitoring of contaminated groundwater. In a typical monitoring well, contaminant concentrations are observed to increase or decrease between monitoring events due to a variety of factors that may be unrelated to the long-term effects of natural attenuation or site remediation. This project will demonstrate an easy-to-apply, cost-effective suite of tools and simple procedures that can be used to reduce monitoring variability, more accurately characterize long-term concentration trends, and in turn, optimize monitoring frequency.

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Technology Description

For low-flow and no-purge sampling methods, simple modifications to the current sample collection procedures will serve to reduce monitoring variability. When using low-flow sampling, purging a pre-defined constant volume for each rather than purging to parameter stability will reduce variability. For low-flow and no-purge sampling methods, variability can be reduced by collecting the samples from exactly the same depth within the well (high precision sampler placement). For stratified wells, a low-energy in-well mixing procedure prior to sample collection will further reduce variability for both low-flow and no-purge sampling methods. For sampling methods that require transfer of the sample from the collection device to the sample container, specific transfer procedures will reduce variability associated with volatile loss. The field demonstration will validate these four improved sampling procedures.

When the observed monitoring result is a function of a long-term concentration trend plus random variability that occurs over a much shorter time scale, low frequency monitoring is more efficient and effective for characterizing the long-term trend (in other words, high frequency sampling provides little or no additional information about long-term trends). As a result, at a site with relatively rapid long-term attenuation and low random variability, frequent monitoring can accurately characterize the true long-term trend. However, less frequent monitoring is appropriate at a site with a slow long-term source attenuation rate because random variability will dominate the apparent concentration trend obtained from more frequent monitoring. This project will demonstrate a method that uses past monitoring results to determine the random variability and long-term rate of change and then uses these site-specific characteristics to establish an optimized monitoring program.

The random variability associated with groundwater monitoring results can significantly distort apparent concentration trends in long-term monitoring records. During remedy effectiveness evaluations, this variability is often mistaken for poor spatial remedy effectiveness resulting in the incorrect conclusion that the remedy is failing to achieve the remediation goals. The demonstration will include an improved method for distinguishing between random variation in apparent concentration trends between wells and true spatial variability in remedy effectiveness.

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Benefits

High variability in groundwater monitoring results significantly increases the cost of long-term monitoring by limiting the ability to accurately observe long-term changes in contaminant concentrations. The suite of tools demonstrated in this project will significantly reduce long-term monitoring costs by (1) reducing variability in monitoring data, which will allow long-term trends to be identified using less data, (2) providing an improved method to optimize monitoring frequency, and (3) more accurately characterizing long-term trends, which will reduce incorrect conclusions regarding remedy effectiveness. (Anticipated Project Completion - 2014)

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Points of Contact

Principal Investigator

Dr. Thomas McHugh

GSI Environmental Inc.

Phone: 713-522-6300

Fax: 713-522-8010

Program Manager

Environmental Restoration

SERDP and ESTCP

Document Types

  • Fact Sheet - Brief project summary with links to related documents and points of contact.
  • Final Report - Comprehensive report for every completed SERDP and ESTCP project that contains all technical results.
  • Cost & Performance Report - Overview of ESTCP demonstration activities, results, and conclusions, standardized to facilitate implementation decisions.
  • Technical Report - Additional interim reports, laboratory reports, demonstration reports, and technology survey reports.
  • Guidance - Instructional information on technical topics such as protocols and user’s guides.
  • Workshop Report - Summary of workshop discussion and findings.
  • Multimedia - On demand videos, animations, and webcasts highlighting featured initiatives or technologies.
  • Model/Software - Computer programs and applications available for download.
  • Database - Digitally organized collection of data available to search and access.